BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Michigan St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 67 Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength = 156.65
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (1-8) | District: 1A-01 Record: (3-8)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/29/2025 Home W * 168.79 23 6 1A 71 (10- 4) Western Michigan 10.82 4.92 6.18
2 09/06/2025 Home W * 148.63 42 40 1A 97 ( 2-10) Boston College -9.34 -8.41 11.34
3 09/13/2025 Home W 155.94 41 24 1B 12 ( 8- 5) Youngstown St -2.02 15.79 19.02
4 09/20/2025 Away L * * 163.78 31 45 1A 16 ( 9- 4) Southern Cal 5.82 -20.98 -19.82
5 10/04/2025 Away L * * 153.14 27 38 1A 42 ( 7- 6) Nebraska -4.83 -12.37 -6.17
6 10/11/2025 Home L * * 127.19 13 38 1A 70 ( 3- 9) UCLA -30.77 14.76 5.77
7 10/18/2025 Away L * * 172.46 13 38 1A 1 (15- 0) Indiana 14.50 * -49.96 -39.50
8 10/25/2025 Home L * * 158.04 20 31 1A 20 ( 9- 4) Michigan 0.07 -14.96 -11.07
9 11/01/2025 Away L * * 155.69 20 23 1A 68 ( 8- 5) Minnesota -2.28 -1.08 -0.72
10 11/15/2025 Home L * * 153.39 10 28 1A 19 ( 7- 6) Penn State -4.58 -12.26 -13.42
11 11/22/2025 Away L * * 173.13 17 20 1A 8 ( 9- 4) Iowa 15.16 -27.38 -18.16
12 11/29/2025 Neutral W * * 165.42 38 28 1A 69 ( 4- 8) Maryland 7.45 -2.94 2.55
Averages 157.97 24.6 29.9
Best game: 173.13 = 3 point loss to Iowa
Worst game: 127.19 = 25 point loss to UCLA
Team stdev: 12.56