BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Michigan St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 70 Overall: (3-5) Overall Strength = 161.65
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-5) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-5)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/29/2025 Home W * 174.77 23 6 1A 75 (4-4) Western Michigan 11.22 4.92 5.78
2 09/06/2025 Home W * 151.33 42 40 1A 110 (1-7) Boston College -12.22 -8.41 14.22
3 09/13/2025 Home W 160.71 41 24 1B 20 (5-3) Youngstown St -2.84 15.79 19.84
4 09/20/2025 Away L * * 175.25 31 45 1A 12 (5-2) Southern Cal 11.70 -20.98 -25.70
5 10/04/2025 Away L * * 165.44 27 38 1A 47 (6-2) Nebraska 1.89 -12.36 -12.89
6 10/11/2025 Home L * * 135.03 13 38 1A 65 (3-5) UCLA -28.52 14.76 3.52
7 10/18/2025 Away L * * 176.85 13 38 1A 1 (8-0) Indiana 13.30 * -49.98 -38.30
8 10/25/2025 Home L * * 169.02 20 31 1A 24 (6-2) Michigan 5.47 -14.93 -16.47
9 11/01/2025 Away * * 1A 74 (5-3) Minnesota -1.09
10 11/15/2025 Home * * 1A 38 (3-4) Penn State -7.96
11 11/22/2025 Away * * 1A 10 (6-2) Iowa -26.37
12 11/29/2025 Neutral * * 1A 45 (4-3) Maryland -8.72
Averages 163.55 26.2 32.5
Best game: 176.85 = 25 point loss to Indiana
Worst game: 135.03 = 25 point loss to UCLA
Team stdev: 14.36